Polish election countdown - what's on the political menu?
The October 21st elections in Poland are certainly going to be the most contentiously fought since the 90's when dramatic changes were being implemented after the fall of communism.
A poll in this weekend's leading liberl-ish newspaper, Gazeta Wyborcza (they don't like the right-wingers in power) 15 day's before Poles go to the polls (hahahaha - nice pun, huh!) see the various parties with the following level of support:
Law and Justice right-wingers at 38 percent
Civic Platform opposition right-wingers (ok, to be sort of exact, they are liberal conservatives) at 32%;
Left and Democrats coalition (who often rule indistinguishably from right-wingers when they are in power, but are for sure more socially liberal) at 16%
Polish People's Party at 6% - they are kinda agrarian, centrist,
and Christian democratic
Self-Defence(economically, again, kinda left-wing but socially conservative, anti-EU, very populist in orientation) at 3%
League of Polish Families (please start praying now that these far-right nuts don't get into parliament - they need just 3%) at 3% - their members allegedly eat gay people for breakfast and watch videos of Texan and Taliban-style capital punishments into the long hours of the night.
The above results were taken from a phone-poll which was conducted amongst over 12,000 eligible voters at the end of September.
A different poll conducted by PGB for the Super Express daily asked over 1,000 voters from Oct. 1st-3rd about their voting intentions.
PGB are usually more accurate than others in predicting election results:
Law and Justice leads with 34.7 percent support
Civic Platform follow with 32.6 percent
Left and Democrats has 15.8 percent
League of Polish Families would qualify for parliament with 5.5 percent
Polish People's Party would be the smallest party with 5%
All other parties would not qualify to enter parliament.
Minority parties in Poland include the newly established Women's party, the Greens, Freedom Union and a host of other left and right-wing parties, none of which have a snowball's chance in the hell of being elected in 2 weeks time.
In with a chance of entering some form of coalition with a former enemy are
Civic Platform - led by Donald Tusk
Left and Democrats - led by Aleksander Kwasniewski
Polish People's Party - led by Waldemar Pawlak
League of Polish Families - led by Roman Giertych
Self-Defence - led by Andrzej Lepper
But here are the top 5 likely faces of Poland's future governance of Poland:
Conservative Law and Justice Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski with his twin the President, Lech
Spot the difference? Which is Lech, which is Jaroslaw?
Or will these similar looking men lead Poland monetarily to the Euro, European football championships, U.S. missile base interceptors, Russo/Prusso-phobia exacerbating period of the next 4 years
Or could it be these shady characters?????
And last but not least, these harmless looking young fellows who have managed to evade the law despite stealing the moon
The future looks bright for Poland, doesn't it!
A poll in this weekend's leading liberl-ish newspaper, Gazeta Wyborcza (they don't like the right-wingers in power) 15 day's before Poles go to the polls (hahahaha - nice pun, huh!) see the various parties with the following level of support:
Law and Justice right-wingers at 38 percent
Civic Platform opposition right-wingers (ok, to be sort of exact, they are liberal conservatives) at 32%;
Left and Democrats coalition (who often rule indistinguishably from right-wingers when they are in power, but are for sure more socially liberal) at 16%
Polish People's Party at 6% - they are kinda agrarian, centrist,
and Christian democratic
Self-Defence(economically, again, kinda left-wing but socially conservative, anti-EU, very populist in orientation) at 3%
League of Polish Families (please start praying now that these far-right nuts don't get into parliament - they need just 3%) at 3% - their members allegedly eat gay people for breakfast and watch videos of Texan and Taliban-style capital punishments into the long hours of the night.
The above results were taken from a phone-poll which was conducted amongst over 12,000 eligible voters at the end of September.
A different poll conducted by PGB for the Super Express daily asked over 1,000 voters from Oct. 1st-3rd about their voting intentions.
PGB are usually more accurate than others in predicting election results:
Law and Justice leads with 34.7 percent support
Civic Platform follow with 32.6 percent
Left and Democrats has 15.8 percent
League of Polish Families would qualify for parliament with 5.5 percent
Polish People's Party would be the smallest party with 5%
All other parties would not qualify to enter parliament.
Minority parties in Poland include the newly established Women's party, the Greens, Freedom Union and a host of other left and right-wing parties, none of which have a snowball's chance in the hell of being elected in 2 weeks time.
In with a chance of entering some form of coalition with a former enemy are
Civic Platform - led by Donald Tusk
Left and Democrats - led by Aleksander Kwasniewski
Polish People's Party - led by Waldemar Pawlak
League of Polish Families - led by Roman Giertych
Self-Defence - led by Andrzej Lepper
But here are the top 5 likely faces of Poland's future governance of Poland:
Conservative Law and Justice Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski with his twin the President, Lech
Spot the difference? Which is Lech, which is Jaroslaw?
Or will these similar looking men lead Poland monetarily to the Euro, European football championships, U.S. missile base interceptors, Russo/Prusso-phobia exacerbating period of the next 4 years
Or could it be these shady characters?????
And last but not least, these harmless looking young fellows who have managed to evade the law despite stealing the moon
The future looks bright for Poland, doesn't it!
Comments
You need 5% to get to the Sejm here:) So Maibe LPR won't qualify.
And you forgot about a small but strong Polish Labour Party - it may gain some left-wing votes
Bart
from Greens 2004, Polish Green Party:)
If the Greens manage to get in somehow that would be good. Once off course they don't sell out like the Czech, German and Irish Greens. All the latter have good, solid members but a small powerful clique swung them away from the excellent founding principles of the International Greens.
Are ya standing for election yourself Bart?
75% Poles declared they want to cast their ballots.
Time will tell.
If this transpires they will manage to attain a majority victory and form a one-party cabinet, a first for Poland since the fall of communism 18 years ago.
Ooooh shit!
Keep your fingers crossed;)